Inflation

10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate

Market-implied inflation expectation over the next 10 years, derived from the spread between nominal Treasury and TIPS yields. Primary input for real rate calculations, inflation regime detection, and Fed policy models. Rises when markets expect higher future inflation. Daily frequency, 20+ year history with full derived metrics.

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average

Broadest measure of U.S. consumer price inflation, covering all urban consumers. The headline number reported in major economic releases. Use for inflation trend analysis, YoY comparison, and historical regime identification. Monthly frequency from 1947, includes MoM and YoY derived metrics.

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy in U.S. City Average

CPI excluding food and energy — the Fed's preferred measure of underlying inflation trend. Strips out volatile components to reveal persistent price pressure. Critical input for Fed policy models and inflation persistence analysis. Monthly frequency with full derived metrics including z-score and percentile rank.

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, measuring price changes in personal consumption. Broader than CPI, covers more goods and services. Used directly by the FOMC in setting policy targets. Monthly frequency, includes MoM, YoY, rolling averages, and trend direction.

Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy (Chain-Type Price Index)

Core PCE excluding food and energy — the single most important inflation series for Fed policy decisions. The FOMC explicitly targets this at 2%. Persistent deviations drive rate decisions. Monthly frequency with full derived metrics and 30+ year history.